Abstract
Abbreviations and Acronyms:
ACC/AHA (American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association), AGREE (Appraisal of Guidelines, Research, and Evaluation), GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation)- •Trustworthy clinical practice guidelines require a systematic review to select the best available evidence and should explicitly evaluate the quality of evidence.
- •Factors that reduce the quality of evidence are risk of bias, indirectness, inconsistency, imprecision, and likelihood of publication and reporting bias.
- •Transforming evidence into a decision requires consideration of the quality of evidence, balance of benefits and harms, patients' values, resources, feasibility, acceptability, and equity.
- •Empirical evidence shows that guidelines improve patient outcomes; however, guidelines require active dissemination and innovative implementation strategies.
International Guideline Library. http://www.g-i-n.net/library/international-guidelines-library. Accessed September 24, 2016.
National Guideline Clearinghouse. https://www.guideline.gov. Accessed September 21, 2016.
Historical Perspective
Methods and processes US Preventive Services Taskforce website. http://www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/Page/Name/methods-and-processes#recommendation-process. Accessed August 22, 2016.
• Be based on a systematic review of the literature |
• Be developed by a knowledgeable, multidisciplinary panel of experts and representatives from key affected groups |
• Consider important patient subgroups and patient values and preferences |
• Be based on an explicit and transparent process that minimizes distortions, biases, and conflicts of interest |
• Provide a clear explanation of the logical relationships between alternative care options and health outcomes |
• Provide ratings of the quality of evidence and the strength of recommendations |
• Be reconsidered and revised as appropriate when important new evidence warrants modifications of recommendations |
Evaluating the Quality of Evidence
Domain (explanation) | Example |
---|---|
Quality of evidence is rated down | |
Methodological limitations (What is the extent of bias in the available studies?) | A meta-analysis of 14 randomized trials showed that perioperative insulin infusion reduced mortality in patients undergoing surgery (relative risk, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.51-0.94). However, less than half of the trials concealed allocation sequence from the investigator enrolling patients; less than half of the trials blinded outcome assessors, and most trials did not report on those lost to follow-up. 22 These limitations suggest increased risk of bias that leads to rating down the quality of evidence. |
Indirectness (Does the available evidence fit the population and interventions of interest?) | Trials of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in patients with diabetes can designate death, incidence of end-stage renal disease, or proteinuria as outcomes. Trials using death and incidence of end-stage renal disease provide the highest-quality evidence for decision making. Conversely, trials that use proteinuria as a surrogate for clinical outcomes produce indirect evidence that leads to rating down the quality of evidence. 23 |
Inconsistency (Do the results substantially differ across published studies?) | A meta-analysis of 22 studies showed that medical students who learned using a self-directed approach had a moderate increase in knowledge compared with those who learned using traditional didactic curricula. The increase in knowledge was estimated to be 0.42 SD (95% CI, 0.14-0.70 SD). However, the effect was very inconsistent across studies (I2=94%) and suggested important heterogeneity beyond what was expected by chance. 24 This heterogeneity leads to rating down the quality of evidence. |
Imprecision (Would our decision differ across the boundaries of the CI?) | At 30 d and compared with endarterectomy, carotid stenting was associated with a nonsignificant reduction in the risk of death (relative risk, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.27-1.37). 25 If the lower boundary of CI was to represent the truth, this would mean that stenting reduced death by 73%. If the upper boundary of the CI was to represent the truth, this would mean that stenting increased death by 37%. Because the CI included appreciable benefit and harm, this evidence is considered imprecise, which leads to rating down the quality of evidence. |
Publication bias (Are there unpublished studies that show less impressive results than published ones?) | Data on 74% of patients enrolled in trials evaluating the antidepressant reboxetine remained unpublished. Published data overestimated the benefit of reboxetine vs placebo by up to 115% and underestimated harm. 26 This is an example of publication bias in which sponsors of trials chose the data that are most impressive to publish, which leads to rating down the quality of evidence. |
Quality of evidence is rated up | |
Large effect (Relative risk >2.0 or <0.5 can be used to define a large effect.) | Meta-analysis of observational studies showed that infants with a front sleeping position had increased risk of sudden infant death syndrome compared with a back sleeping position (odds ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 3.1-5.5). The large effect (4 times increased likelihood) increases certainty that a strong association exists and can lead to rating up the quality of evidence. 27 |
Dose-response effect (The higher the dose, the larger the effect.) | An observational study of 2154 patients with septic shock showed a strong relationship between the delay in effective antimicrobial initiation and in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.12 for each additional hour delay). This dose-response relationship increases certainty that a strong association exists and can lead to rating up the quality of evidence. 28 |
Plausible confounding strengthens the association (Despite a likely confounder that would weaken the association, the effect remains significant.) | Observational studies have documented lower mortality rates in not-for-profit hospitals compared with for-profit hospitals. This is despite confounding by the fact that sicker patients usually are hospitalized in not-for-profit hospitals (thus, not-for-profit hospitals would be expected to have higher mortality rates). Despite this, it was observed that not-for-profit hospitals had lower mortality rates. This residual confounding strengthens the observed association and can lead to rating up the quality of evidence. 29 |
From Evidence to Recommendation
- MacLean S.
- Mulla S.
- Akl E.A.
- et al.
1. Is the question that the guideline is addressing a priority? |
2. Balance of benefits and harms |
a. How substantial are the desirable anticipated effects? |
b. How substantial are the undesirable anticipated effects? |
c. Does the balance between desirable and undesirable effects favor the intervention or the alternative? |
3. What is the overall quality of the evidence? |
4. Is there important uncertainty or variability in how much patients value the outcomes? |
5. Resources |
a. How large are the resource requirements (costs)? |
b. What is the certainty in the evidence of resource requirements (costs)? |
c. Is the intervention cost-effective? |
6. What is the effect on health equity? |
7. Is the intervention acceptable to patients, caregivers, and health care professionals? |
8. Is implementing the intervention feasible for patients, caregivers, and health care professionals? |
Determining the Strength of a Recommendation
Paradigmatic situation | Example |
---|---|
Low-quality evidence suggests benefit in a life-threatening situation | Recommendation to increase the glucocorticoid dosage in congenital adrenal hyperplasia during a febrile illness |
Low-quality evidence suggests benefit and high-quality evidence suggests harm or a very high cost | Recommendation against screening with whole-body computed tomographic scan |
Low-quality evidence suggests equivalence, but high-quality evidence suggests harm with one alternative | Recommendation for laparoscopic over open adrenalectomy in patients with unilateral primary aldosteronism |
High-quality evidence suggests equivalence, but low-quality evidence suggests harm with one alternative | Recommendation for methyldopa over angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors for hypertension in pregnancy |
Low-quality evidence suggests harm in a critical outcome that is valued much more than any of the benefits | Recommendation against testosterone replacement in men with prostate cancer |
Where to Find Guidelines?
National Guideline Clearinghouse. https://www.guideline.gov. Accessed September 21, 2016.
How to Judge the Quality of a Guideline?
Implementation
Implementation From the Perspective of a Clinician-Patient Dyad
Recommendation: “For acutely ill hospitalized medical patients at increased risk of thrombosis who are bleeding or at high risk for major bleeding, we suggest the optimal use of mechanical thromboprophylaxis with graduated compression stockings. (Weak recommendation, low quality evidence)” 43 The recommendation is followed by 2 tools that help the clinician estimate the risk of thrombosis and bleeding in hospitalized medical patients. |
Implementation From the Perspective of Health Care Systems
Do Guidelines Improve Patient Outcomes?
Improving Guideline Uptake
Limitations and Future Needs
1. Better methodology to engage patients and obtain their perspective. Current methods of patient engagement often lead to tokenistic engagement. 33 Randomized trials to test engagement methods have been performed and seem to be feasible.71 |
2. Reliable mechanism to update guidelines and incorporate new evidence. Although frameworks for updating guidelines have been suggested, 72 only 53% of surveyed guideline developers had a formal procedure for deciding when a guideline becomes out of date73 and less than a third of methodology handbooks included an approach for updating guidelines.68 |
3. Collaborative initiatives to avoid contradictory recommendations by different professional societies. In 2011, five independent guidelines reported recommendations for the management of carotid artery stenosis. 70 Recommendations from these committees differed. The ACC/AHA suggested that stenting and endarterectomy were equal options for symptomatic patients, whereas the Society for Vascular Surgery and the Australasian Guidelines recommended endarterectomy as a first choice and suggested stenting as an alternative only in patients with high anatomical or perioperative risk.70 |
4. Data sharing to facilitate conducting individual patient meta-analyses. Study-level meta-analysis, which is very frequently performed, produces subgroup estimates that are highly subject to ecological bias. In comparison, individual patient meta-analysis can produce reliable estimates of effect in patient subgroups; which allows individualized recommendations. However, individual patient meta-analysis requires data sharing by trialists. |
Conflicts of Interest
Conclusion
Supplemental Online Material
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International Guideline Library. http://www.g-i-n.net/library/international-guidelines-library. Accessed September 24, 2016.
National Guideline Clearinghouse. https://www.guideline.gov. Accessed September 21, 2016.
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Article Info
Footnotes
For editorial comment, see page 327