Abstract
Objective
Patients and Methods
Results
Conclusion
Abbreviations and Acronyms:
DHHS (Department of Health and Human Services), ET (estrogen therapy), HR (hazard ratio), ICD-9 (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision), MOA-2 (Mayo Clinic Cohort Study of Oophorectomy and Aging), REP (Rochester Epidemiology Project)Patients and Methods
Bilateral Oophorectomy and Referent Cohorts

Baseline Conditions and Risk Factors
Outcome Conditions and Multimorbidity
Statistical Analyses
Results
Study Sample
Cumulative Incidence of the 18 Conditions Considered Separately

Interaction Analyses for Individual Conditions
Accumulation of Multimorbidity
Strata | Bilateral oophorectomy | Referent women | Unadjusted models | Adjusted models a Hazard ratios calculated using Andersen-Gill regression models with age as the time scale and adjusted using inverse probability weights derived from a regression model including all 18 chronic conditions present at baseline, years of education (≤12, 13-16, >16), race (white vs nonwhite), body mass index (<30 vs ≥30 kg/m2), cigarette smoking (current or former vs never), age at baseline (continuous), and calendar year at baseline (continuous). These adjustments were performed separately in each stratum to maximize the balance at baseline. None of the interactions by age was significant. | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. at risk | Person-years | No. of events | No. at risk | Person-years | No. of events | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P value | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P value | |
Primary analyses | ||||||||||
Overall | 1653 | 23,940 | 4739 | 1653 | 23,836 | 3828 | 1.23 (1.17-1.30) | <.001 | 1.18 (1.13-1.25) | <.001 |
Age ≤45 y | 1031 | 15,046 | 2850 | 1031 | 14,723 | 2159 | 1.29 (1.21-1.39) | <.001 | 1.22 (1.14-1.31) | <.001 |
ET >45 y b Women who were taking ET on their 46th birthday, after bilateral oophorectomy (only oral or transdermal). Women who had the particular outcome disease before their 46th birthday, died or were lost to follow-up before their 46th birthday, or had not reached age 46 years as of December 31, 2014, were not included in the corresponding analysis. Follow-up for these analyses was started at age 46 years. None of the interactions by ET was significant in the ≤45-years age stratum. | 650 | 8229 | 1545 | 603 | 7594 | 1307 | 1.09 (1.00-1.19) | .06 | 1.08 (0.99-1.18) | .08 |
No ET or ≤45 y | 182 | 1714 | 358 | 161 | 1651 | 231 | 1.49 (1.24-1.80) | <.001 | 1.27 (1.04-1.55) | .02 |
Age 46-49 y | 622 | 8894 | 1889 | 622 | 9113 | 1669 | 1.16 (1.07-1.25) | <.001 | 1.14 (1.05-1.22) | .001 |
ET >49 y c Women who were taking ET on their 50th birthday, after bilateral oophorectomy (only oral or transdermal). Women who had the particular outcome disease before their 50th birthday, died or were lost to follow-up before their 50th birthday, or had not reached age 50 years as of December 31, 2014, were not included in the corresponding analysis. Follow-up for these analyses was started at age 50 years. None of the interactions by ET was significant in the 46-49 years age stratum. | 448 | 6022 | 1240 | 427 | 5949 | 1143 | 1.07 (0.98-1.17) | .16 | 1.05 (0.96-1.16) | .26 |
No ET or ≤49 y | 160 | 1579 | 320 | 155 | 1630 | 304 | 1.08 (0.92-1.28) | .35 | 1.04 (0.88-1.24) | .65 |
Benign condition | 675 | 9843 | 1925 | 675 | 9735 | 1500 | 1.28 (1.17-1.39) | <.001 | 1.22 (1.12-1.33) | <.001 |
No indication | 978 | 14,097 | 2814 | 978 | 14,101 | 2328 | 1.21 (1.13-1.29) | <.001 | 1.16 (1.08-1.23) | <.001 |
Years 1988-1997 | 723 | 13,488 | 2697 | 723 | 13,582 | 2246 | 1.21 (1.13-1.29) | <.001 | 1.19 (1.11-1.27) | <.001 |
Years 1998-2007 | 930 | 10,452 | 2042 | 930 | 10,254 | 1582 | 1.26 (1.17-1.36) | <.001 | 1.19 (1.10-1.29) | <.001 |
Smokers | 756 | 10,979 | 2358 | 696 | 10,250 | 1927 | 1.16 (1.08-1.24) | <.001 | 1.13 (1.05-1.22) | .001 |
Nonsmokers | 897 | 12,962 | 2381 | 957 | 13,586 | 1901 | 1.30 (1.21-1.39) | <.001 | 1.25 (1.17-1.34) | <.001 |
Sensitivity analyses censoring the 84 referent women who underwent bilateral oophorectomy after the index date | ||||||||||
Overall | 1653 | 23,940 | 4739 | 1653 | 22,750 | 3626 | 1.24 (1.18-1.31) | <.001 | 1.19 (1.13-1.26) | <.001 |
Age ≤45 y | 1031 | 15,046 | 2850 | 1031 | 13,825 | 1993 | 1.31 (1.22-1.41) | <.001 | 1.23 (1.15-1.33) | <.001 |
ET >45 y b Women who were taking ET on their 46th birthday, after bilateral oophorectomy (only oral or transdermal). Women who had the particular outcome disease before their 46th birthday, died or were lost to follow-up before their 46th birthday, or had not reached age 46 years as of December 31, 2014, were not included in the corresponding analysis. Follow-up for these analyses was started at age 46 years. None of the interactions by ET was significant in the ≤45-years age stratum. | 650 | 8229 | 1545 | 603 | 6892 | 1186 | 1.09 (1.00-1.20) | .0495 | 1.09 (0.99-1.19) | .07 |
No ET or ≤45 y | 182 | 1714 | 358 | 161 | 1551 | 214 | 1.51 (1.24-1.83) | <.001 | 1.28 (1.04-1.58) | .02 |
Age 46-49 y | 622 | 8894 | 1889 | 622 | 8926 | 1633 | 1.16 (1.07-1.25) | <.001 | 1.14 (1.05-1.23) | .001 |
ET >49 y c Women who were taking ET on their 50th birthday, after bilateral oophorectomy (only oral or transdermal). Women who had the particular outcome disease before their 50th birthday, died or were lost to follow-up before their 50th birthday, or had not reached age 50 years as of December 31, 2014, were not included in the corresponding analysis. Follow-up for these analyses was started at age 50 years. None of the interactions by ET was significant in the 46-49 years age stratum. | 448 | 6022 | 1240 | 427 | 5799 | 1119 | 1.06 (0.97-1.16) | .18 | 1.05 (0.96-1.15) | .29 |
No ET or ≤49 y | 160 | 1579 | 320 | 155 | 1594 | 294 | 1.10 (0.93-1.30) | .29 | 1.05 (0.88-1.25) | .56 |
Benign condition | 675 | 9843 | 1925 | 675 | 9079 | 1378 | 1.29 (1.18-1.41) | <.001 | 1.24 (1.14-1.35) | <.001 |
No indication | 978 | 14,097 | 2814 | 978 | 13,671 | 2248 | 1.21 (1.14-1.29) | <.001 | 1.16 (1.09-1.24) | <.001 |
Sensitivity analyses in women who did not have any of the 18 chronic conditions at baseline | ||||||||||
Overall | 659 | 10,191 | 1870 | 888 | 13,097 | 1968 | 1.20 (1.11-1.30) | <.001 | 1.18 (1.09-1.28) | <.001 |
Age ≤45 y | 420 | 6569 | 1154 | 592 | 8624 | 1184 | 1.25 (1.13-1.39) | <.001 | 1.24 (1.12-1.37) | <.001 |
Age 46-49 y | 239 | 3621 | 716 | 296 | 4473 | 784 | 1.12 (0.99-1.26) | .06 | 1.11 (0.98-1.25) | .10 |
Benign condition | 292 | 4562 | 802 | 385 | 5707 | 812 | 1.21 (1.07-1.38) | .003 | 1.18 (1.04-1.34) | .01 |
No indication | 367 | 5629 | 1068 | 503 | 7390 | 1156 | 1.19 (1.08-1.31) | <.001 | 1.18 (1.07-1.30) | .001 |
Sensitivity analyses excluding women who underwent hysterectomy or reached menopause before the index date | ||||||||||
Overall | 1496 | 21,741 | 4227 | 1383 | 19,845 | 3004 | 1.28 (1.21-1.35) | <.001 | 1.21 (1.15-1.28) | <.001 |
Age ≤45 y | 919 | 13,465 | 2494 | 932 | 13,254 | 1874 | 1.31 (1.22-1.41) | <.001 | 1.24 (1.15-1.33) | <.001 |
Age 46-49 y | 577 | 8276 | 1733 | 451 | 6591 | 1130 | 1.22 (1.11-1.33) | <.001 | 1.17 (1.07-1.28) | <.001 |
Benign condition | 538 | 7939 | 1487 | 590 | 8492 | 1233 | 1.30 (1.18-1.43) | <.001 | 1.24 (1.13-1.36) | <.001 |
No indication | 958 | 13,802 | 2740 | 793 | 11,352 | 1771 | 1.26 (1.18-1.36) | <.001 | 1.19 (1.11-1.28) | <.001 |


Interaction Analyses for Accumulation of Multimorbidity
Sensitivity Analyses
Discussion
Principal Findings
Possible Explanations for the Findings
Strengths and Limitations
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
Supplemental Online Material
- Supplemental Table 1
- Supplemental Table 2
- Supplemental Table 3
- Supplemental Table 4
- Supplemental Table 5
- Supplemental Figures 1 and 2
Supplemental Online Material
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Article info
Publication history
Footnotes
Grant Support: This study was made possible by the Rochester Epidemiology Project (grant number R01-AG034676; Principal Investigators: Walter A. Rocca, MD, MPH, and Jennifer L. St. Sauver, PhD). The study was also supported in part by funds from the Mayo Clinic Research Committee (W.A.R.) and grants P50 AG044170, U01 AG006786, P01 AG004875 (W.A.R.), and P50 AG044170 (V.M.M.) from the National Institutes of Health.
Potential Competing Interests: Dr Stewart has received fees for serving on the advisory board of Gynesonics, consulting fees from AbbVie Inc, Bayer AG, GlaxoSmithKline, Astellas Pharma Inc, Welltwigs, Viteava Pharmaceuticals Inc, and Allergan Plc, and has a patent (US 6440445) for methods and compounds for treatment of abnormal uterine bleeding.
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