A Decade of Reversal: An Analysis of 146 Contradicted Medical Practices
Affiliations
- National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
Correspondence
- Correspondence: Address to Vinay Prasad, MD, Medical Oncology Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, 10 Center Dr 10/12N226, Bethesda, MD 20892.
Press enter key for correspondence informationAffiliations
- National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
Correspondence
- Correspondence: Address to Vinay Prasad, MD, Medical Oncology Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, 10 Center Dr 10/12N226, Bethesda, MD 20892.
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, Lankenau Medical Center, Philadelphia, PA
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, George Washington University, Washington, DC
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Affiliations
- Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Affiliations
- Department of Surgery, George Washington University, Washington, DC
Affiliations
- Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD
Affiliations
- Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
Article Info
Figure 1
A breakdown of articles concerning a medical practice.
Figure 2
Percentage of reversal, reaffirmation, and all articles testing standard of care.
Abstract
Objective
To identify medical practices that offer no net benefits.
Methods
We reviewed all original articles published in 10 years (2001-2010) in one high-impact journal. Articles were classified on the basis of whether they addressed a medical practice, whether they tested a new or existing therapy, and whether results were positive or negative. Articles were then classified as 1 of 4 types: replacement, when a new practice surpasses standard of care; back to the drawing board, when a new practice is no better than current practice; reaffirmation, when an existing practice is found to be better than a lesser standard; and reversal, when an existing practice is found to be no better than a lesser therapy. This study was conducted from August 1, 2011, through October 31, 2012.
Results
We reviewed 2044 original articles, 1344 of which concerned a medical practice. Of these, 981 articles (73.0%) examined a new medical practice, whereas 363 (27.0%) tested an established practice. A total of 947 studies (70.5%) had positive findings, whereas 397 (29.5%) reached a negative conclusion. A total of 756 articles addressing a medical practice constituted replacement, 165 were back to the drawing board, 146 were medical reversals, 138 were reaffirmations, and 139 were inconclusive. Of the 363 articles testing standard of care, 146 (40.2%) reversed that practice, whereas 138 (38.0%) reaffirmed it.
Conclusion
The reversal of established medical practice is common and occurs across all classes of medical practice. This investigation sheds light on low-value practices and patterns of medical research.
For editorial comment, see page 779
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